Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.029248 0.031469 0.033695 0.036089 0.038589 0.041119 0.043870
2025-11-02 0.025110 0.028629 0.032281 0.036339 0.040707 0.045254 0.050332
2025-11-09 0.022394 0.026662 0.031204 0.036369 0.042047 0.048070 0.054915
2025-11-16 0.020364 0.025168 0.030395 0.036451 0.043224 0.050517 0.058918
2025-11-23 0.018581 0.023775 0.029540 0.036333 0.044046 0.052460 0.062265
2025-11-30 0.017089 0.022591 0.028811 0.036255 0.044820 0.054272 0.065397
2025-12-07 0.015549 0.021242 0.027797 0.035763 0.045048 0.055406 0.067712
2025-12-14 0.014169 0.019996 0.026827 0.035250 0.045188 0.056386 0.069807
2025-12-21 0.012696 0.018548 0.025541 0.034293 0.044749 0.056651 0.071039
2025-12-28 0.012158 0.018231 0.025589 0.034901 0.046125 0.058994 0.074647
2026-01-04 0.011440 0.017640 0.025268 0.035032 0.046911 0.060633 0.077427
2026-01-11 0.010662 0.016930 0.024762 0.034906 0.047364 0.061862 0.079715
2026-01-18 0.010183 0.016617 0.024773 0.035450 0.048674 0.064165 0.083346
2026-01-25 0.009588 0.016126 0.024543 0.035692 0.049622 0.066056 0.086522
2026-02-01 0.008955 0.015544 0.024167 0.035722 0.050291 0.067599 0.089275
2026-02-08 0.008393 0.015027 0.023848 0.035802 0.051005 0.069184 0.092071
2026-02-15 0.007798 0.014430 0.023395 0.035686 0.051455 0.070436 0.094460
2026-02-22 0.007261 0.013886 0.022988 0.035609 0.051936 0.071714 0.096873
2026-03-01 0.006622 0.013151 0.022290 0.035123 0.051879 0.072317 0.098458
2026-03-08 0.006023 0.012441 0.021596 0.034616 0.051772 0.072842 0.099935
2026-03-15 0.005333 0.011542 0.020600 0.033670 0.051073 0.072611 0.100471
2026-03-22 0.005157 0.011452 0.020750 0.034271 0.052375 0.074871 0.104062
2026-03-29 0.004854 0.011139 0.020562 0.034400 0.053056 0.076350 0.106692